{"id":125,"date":"2008-12-16T12:33:32","date_gmt":"2008-12-16T17:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php\/2008\/12\/16\/predicting-the-future-of-residential-real-estate-brokerage\/"},"modified":"2008-12-16T12:33:32","modified_gmt":"2008-12-16T17:33:32","slug":"predicting-the-future-of-residential-real-estate-brokerage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/?p=125","title":{"rendered":"Predicting the Future of Residential Real Estate Brokerage"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/windowslivewriterpredictingthefutureofresidentialrealesta-4c3100-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right: 0px; border-top: 0px; border-left: 0px; border-bottom: 0px\" height=\"154\" alt=\"100%\" src=\"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/windowslivewriterpredictingthefutureofresidentialrealesta-4c3100-thumb.jpg\" width=\"450\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>Okay, so they&#8217;re not really all &quot;100%&quot;.&#160; Re\/Max is now a maximum of a 95% split.&#160; Further, most of the 100% companies have various other more traditional splits (IE: 70 &#8211; 30) for those who can&#8217;t pay the standard monthly bill.&#160; But the overall trend for the industry is that most &quot;mega agents&quot; wind up at a 100% company and many of the major marque agents wind up eventually even leaving Re\/Max to start their own company.&#160; Re\/Max was, at one time, the most agent-centric company in the business.&#160; That has changed a bit.&#160; Now at their national conventions the only &quot;approved&quot; business coach is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brianbuffini.com\/\">Brian Buffini<\/a>.&#160; The others, who used to be quite visible ( <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mikeferry.com\/\">Mike Ferry<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gostarpower.com\/\">Howard Brinton<\/a>, to name a few) at those conventions are no longer welcome.&#160; Only Buffini.&#160; I am just guessing that someone named Brian Buffini pays a specific amount of what he can collect from Re\/Max agents to Re\/Max International.&#160; That one is just a guess, but there was no guess work involved when <a href=\"http:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/business\/ci_8979648\">Re\/Max sued First American last April<\/a>.&#160; First American backed out of the deal and stopped payments.&#160; The lawsuit from Re\/Max prompted a probe from the Colorado Real Estate Department looking into <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sourceoftitle.com\/blog_node.aspx?uniq=305\">the possibility of a HUD kickback violation<\/a>.&#160; <\/p>\n<p>Actually, I don&#8217;t think they did actually violate the law.&#160; But I have to say I loved their defense:&#160; we were basically just selling a mailing list.&#160; We have a <em>lot<\/em> of agents, let&#8217;s pimp them out.&#160; This is from the company that revolutionized the residential brokerage business.&#160; Not very revolutionary, is it?<\/p>\n<p>___<\/p>\n<p>The 100% concept was started by a very remarkable man named <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rdrtribute.com\/\">Dale Rector<\/a>.&#160; He was a true visionary and he was the founder of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realtyexecutives.com\/\">Realty Executives<\/a>.&#160; He made Realty Executives into a very successful company that for many years was the top selling company in all of Arizona.&#160; Prior to Re\/Max, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.remax.com\/inside_remax\/corporate_information\/officer_bios\/dave_liniger.aspx\">Dave Liniger<\/a> worked for Dale Rector here in Phoenix and had been sent by Dale up to Denver to start a Realty Executives office there.&#160; Instead, Dave started <a href=\"http:\/\/www.remax.com\/\">Re\/Max<\/a>.&#160; A few years later he took it national.&#160; He successfully accomplished what Realty Executives never did: <em>massive<\/em> expansion on a global level.&#160; The real estate world would never be the same.&#160; Agents who could produce did not have to &quot;give the broker half&quot;.&#160; They would pay the broker to be there (a desk fee) and pay their own expenses and keep <u>all<\/u> of what they earned.&#160; Dale Rector&#8217;s original dream had become a reality for agents all across the nation and eventually, most of the world.&#160; But it was Dave Liniger who made that dream a reality.<\/p>\n<p>__<\/p>\n<p>Anytime anyone discovers or develops <u>anything<\/u> that could be a meaningful advantage in business it does not take long until someone else comes along with a <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.redfin.com\/blog\/2008\/04\/attack_of_the_clones.html\">knock off version<\/a>, usually for less money.&#160; Real estate brokerage offices are no exception.&#160; By the mid 70&#8217;s, when Re\/Max was just getting going and Realty Executives was going strong a different kind of company started sprouting up all around the Phoenix area.&#160; Realty Executives \/ Re\/Max knock offs.&#160; There were dozens and dozens of them.&#160; Some were very well run, others were very poorly managed and went out of business.&#160; The company I have been with for 31 years, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.johnhall.com\/\">John Hall &amp; Associates<\/a> was one of those &quot;original knock offs&quot;.&#160; Less offered and less service to the agent but at a much lower price.&#160; In the early 80&#8217;s came the knock off &#8211; knock offs.&#160; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.westusa.com\/\">West USA<\/a>, was started by <a href=\"http:\/\/206.173.92.20\/westusa_com\/presidents_message.html\">Clay Fouts<\/a>.&#160; Clay started at John Hall about the same time I did, in 1978.&#160; He liked the idea of what John had done and saw that he could provide similar services for less.&#160; Clay&#8217;s original value proposition was simply having a lower price per month for agents than John Hall.&#160; When he started West USA he got several <em>hundred<\/em> of his original agents from John Hall.&#160; He took some from Realty Executives too.&#160; Eventually came the knock off of the knock off of the knock offs.&#160; Companies that would charge the agents $25 &#8211; $50 a month to hang their license and take a few hundred dollars out of each closing.&#160; These companies went on to pass West USA (West USA was the largest company in Arizona with about 2,000 agents) and there is now a company with well over 3,000 agents: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.homesmartinternational.com\/\">HomeSmart<\/a>.&#160; This business model is scalable and can be started just about anywhere.<\/p>\n<p>If HomeSmart doesn&#8217;t eventually open an office in your city don&#8217;t worry.&#160; Someone like them or someone lifting their business model will eventually do just that.&#160; How can a brokerage firm make any money at $25 &#8211; $50 a month?&#160; Use your calculator to multiply that times, say 3,000.&#160; Add in the fact that they are not providing office space, a desk, phones, etc. and you can start to get the picture.&#160; Maybe they only have 200 &#8211; 300 agents they are collecting $200 a closing from and they are still quite profitable.<\/p>\n<p>The competitive pressure these companies have put on &quot;traditional brokers&quot; with regard to commission splits has changed the landscape for all real estate companies here.&#160; For example &#8211; a little known fact &#8211; the two largest national 100% companies, Re\/Max and Keller Williams charge agents considerably less in the Phoenix area than they charge elsewhere.&#160; For example a Re\/Max agent here could pay around $600 a month without office space.&#160; That same set up in the San Francisco area would be about $1,600 a month.&#160; Watch that price drop once the knock off knock off knock offs are well known to the agents there.<\/p>\n<p>The customers of the big brokers are not buyers and sellers.&#160; Buyers and sellers are the customers of the agents.&#160; The customer of the big broker is the agent.&#160; The brokers are in the <em>agent<\/em> acquisition and retention business.&#160; If successful, their expertise typically is limited and is solely in getting and keeping agents and avoiding lawsuits.&#160; They seldom even know much about the little detail of getting and keeping buyers and sellers &#8211; as they never did it very much.&#160; The skills required to be a successful agent and the skills required to be a successful broker are not the same skill set.&#160; There are a select few who have both skill sets but that is quite rare from what I&#8217;ve seen.<\/p>\n<p>There are specific communities and areas where a <em>company<\/em> is so good at getting business that they can hire all the agents they want and dictate the commission splits.&#160; However, this is not the pattern in most areas.&#160; The pattern is typically that the company doing the most business has the most top producing agents.&#160; If those top producing agents left to go somewhere else their business would go right with them.&#160; So what is a brokerage company not making enough money to do?&#160; There are just a few choices: 1. cut back expenses, 2. close, 3. find a way to drive in business or 4. find a way to get more agents.<\/p>\n<p>As almost all of the companies are completely inept at driving in business they are forced to choose options 1, 2 or 4.&#160; Option 4 is achieved by having a company agents would really like to affiliate with &#8211; so to survive they have to be really really great or really really inexpensive.&#160; The later is typically much easier to achieve.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Okay, so they&#8217;re not really all &quot;100%&quot;.&#160; Re\/Max is now a maximum of a 95% split.&#160; Further, most of the 100% companies have various other more traditional splits (IE: 70 &#8211; 30) for those who can&#8217;t pay the standard monthly bill.&#160; But the overall trend for the industry is that most &quot;mega agents&quot; wind up at a 100% company and many of the major marque agents wind up eventually even leaving Re\/Max to start their own company.&#160; Re\/Max was, at one time, the most agent-centric company in the business.&#160; That has changed a bit.&#160; Now at their national conventions the <\/p>\n<div><a class=\"btn btn-primary\" href=\"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/?p=125\" >Read More<\/a> <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-marketing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/number1homeagent.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}